Exploding offers can blow up in more than one way

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Nelson Lau, Yakov Bart, J. Neil Bearden, Ilia Tsetlin

2014 Decision Analysis Vol. 11 Issue 3 Article Cited by 7 Quartile

Abstract

We investigate the use of exploding offers in job hiring situations via behavioral experiments. The proposer chooses between issuing an exploding or extended offer, whereas the responder waits for a better outside alternative. Whereas an exploding offer must be accepted or rejected before discovering whether a better alternativewill arrive, an extended offer allows the responder first to learn the outcome of the better alternative. If the proposer's offer is accepted, the responder can reciprocate and alter the proposer's payoff. Across multiple studies, we find that a large portion of proposers issue exploding offers even though this results in substantially lower payoffs to themselves. These losses primarily arise from negative reciprocation by responders after accepting exploding offers. We show that decision makers exhibit behavioral consistency between their response to offers and the offers they make to others. Finally, we demonstrate that it is possible to decrease the propensity of making exploding offers through making potential negative reciprocity more salient by encouraging explicit introspection of the outcomes. ©2014 INFORMS.

Affiliations

KCG Asia Pacific, Singapore, 079912, Singapore; INSEAD, Singapore, 138676, Singapore

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