Ilia Tsetlin, Anil Gaba, Robert L. Winkler
Variability can be an important strategic variable in a contest. We study optimal strategies involving choice of variability in contests with fixed and probabilistic targets, one-round and multiround contests, contests with and without handicaps, and situations where one contestant can modify variability as well as those in which all contestants have this opportunity. A contestant should maximize variability in a weak position (low mean, high handicap, or low previous performance) and minimize variability in a strong position. In some cases, only these extremes should be used. In other cases, intermediate levels of variability are optimal when the contestant's position is neither too weak nor too strong.
INSEAD, 1 Ayer Rajah Avenue, Singapore 138676, Singapore; Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708-0120, USA, United States
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