Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatas, Sweta C Saxena
The large fall in global output and massive job losses during the current pandemic is creating a socioeconomic upheaval that is likely to persist over time. From previous crises, we know that some of their effects are likely to leave permanent scars through what is known as hysteresis. This article discusses how the concept of scarring or hysteresis is relevant for the current pandemic-induced economic crisis. We discuss channels through which these effects can become persistent and how fiscal and monetary policies can minimize their consequences and work to create a global economy that is more resilient, more equal and greener.t. © 2021 Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
Institute for Capacity Development, IMF, Washington, DC, United States; INSEAD, Singapore; Research Department, IMF, Washington, DC, United States; UNESCAP, Bangkok, Thailand
